Mike Cohn | Advanced Agile Planning (web video + MP4) | June 6, 2012 | Norwegian Developers Conference

Release and iteration planning described in a 57-minute video, is better as a third in series, following the video on Agile Estimating.  Mike Cohn presents:

  • after the user stories have been created, and duration (as story points) have been estimated …
  • velocity is the amount of the work completed per iteration;
  • planning in five scenarios:
    • 1. a team with historical data;
      • where confidence intervals can be calculated from historical data
    • 2. fixed-date plans;
      • with partitions of “will have”, “might have” and “won’t have”;
    • 3. fixed-scope plans;
      • where a date range can be provided;
    • 4. a team with no velocity data;
      • where a first iteration breaks features (backlog items) into tasks, and hours are estimated for each task; and then
      • the second iteration may be estimated as a range, and/or compared with other teams; and
    • 5. a team changing size
      • where the average velocity change can be tracked.

Mike Cohn – Advanced Topics in Agile Planning from NDCOslo on Vimeo.

Velocity is perhaps the most useful metric available to agile teams. In this session we will look at advanced uses of velocity for planning under special but common circumstances. We will see how to forecast velocity in the complete absence of any historical data. We will look at how a new team can forecast velocity by looking at other teams. We will see how to predict the velocity of a team that will grow or shrink in size. Most importantly we will look at the use of confidence intervals to create plans we can be 90% confident in, even on fixed-price or fixed-date contracts.

The slides for this presentation are also available at http://www.mountaingoatsoftware.com/presentations/advanced-topics-in-agile-planning .

There’s a velocity range estimator available at http://www.mountaingoatsoftware.com/tools/velocity-range-calculator .

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David Ing blogs at coevolving.com , photoblogs at daviding.com , and microblogs at http://ingbrief.wordpress.com . See .

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